|
|
|
|
 |
|

Trapped Homeowners Find Painful Choices
‘Tis better to have loved and lost – just not everything.
Homeowners once jubilant with the euphoria of owning their first house yet now facing the loss of
everything through foreclosure are finding a
side door through which to make a less painful exit. Short-selling – or
selling a home for less than the amount still owed on the mortgage with agreement from the bank to forgive the remainder – is a growing trend among desperate homeowners who have run out of options.

The owner of this house in
Union County was facing foreclosure before opting to
short-sell the property — selling for less than is
owed with agreement from the bank to accept the
reduced payment.

Foreclosures on homes in New Jersey reached a one-year high in
just the third quarter of 2008 at 2,798, a 95 percent increase over the same quarter last year. Union County was one of the hardest hit areas,
with one in every 642 homes in the county scheduled for auction, according to multiple real estate sources.
As homeowners become desperate to sell properties now valued at less than the price they
were purchased for and sometimes less than the
amount owed on them, many homeowners look at
short-selling as a way to walk away from a home they
can no longer afford without going through
foreclosure, filing for bankruptcy and/or gutting
their credit rating.
For many homeowners, a short sale
can reduce a nightmare to a bad dream.
But it is still a bad dream,
experts point out.
Interest in short-selling is
increasing, according to real estate professionals,
however no statistics are available on how many
homeowners have actually entered into or completed
the short sale process.
“It is often hard to pinpoint a
short sale unless you actually sit down and compare
the original title or insurance papers and know the
amount of money owed on a home,” said Derek Miller,
a short sale expert with Barclay Funding Corp. in
Plainfield.
That is one reason the
implications of short sales reach far beyond the
individual homeowner. Because the price of other
homes in the surrounding neighborhood are based on
“comparables,” or the comparison of prices of local
homes sold in the last six months to a year, a short
sale can often decrease the asking price for other
homes in the area for several months.
“A short sale can do major damage
to the property values in a neighborhood,” said
Miller.
In addition, both the seller and
the potential buyer of a short sale home need to
understand that the sale itself is usually more
complex than a standard sale, takes more time to
complete, and should not be attempted without an
attorney and a real estate agent who is an expert in
short sales, according to Jonathan Steingraber,
foreclosure division manager for Striker Realty in
Linden.
It is not unusual for homeowners
in danger of foreclosure to have multiple loans on
the property, said Steingraber, explaining that the
homeowner might have borrowed from one lending
institution for the down payment and another for the
mortgage.
Because all lenders in a short
sale must agree before the deal can be completed,
the length of time from contract to closing can be
double or even triple.
“If a typical sale takes 30 days
to close, count on at least 60 days in a short
sale,” he said.
In addition, there can be tax
implications if the property is not the primary
residence of the seller. Another point to consider
is that a bank may not agree to forgive all of the
difference between the amount owed on the mortgage
and the amount received in the sale.
“A bank may ask the seller to
sign a promissory note for a portion of the amount
still owed on the mortgage,” Steingraber said.
But faced with the prospect of
losing their home anyway, many homeowners will
decide that a smaller promissory note is preferable
to the damage to their credit rating caused by
foreclosure.
If handled properly, a short sale
can indeed protect a credit rating, experts say. The
final papers on a short sale will read that the loan
“was paid in full as agreed,” making it easier for
the seller to get other loans, if needed, and to
even get back into the housing market typically in
less than the seven to 11 years after a foreclosure
proceeding, Steingraber said.
But short-selling is just one
option a homeowner in trouble should consider,
according to David Bradley of the consumer real
estate department at Bank of America.
“Our first goal is to keep people
in their homes,” Bradley said.
The federal bank bailout includes
money for banks to assist homeowners with mortgage
problems. Bradley suggests homeowners attempt to
renegotiate their mortgage with their bank before
considering a sale.
<Back to top>

Mortgage Woes Draw Scam Artists
As foreclosures become more
commonplace and more homeowners worry about losing
their properties, “foreclosure rescue” scams are on
the rise, according to law enforcement officials.
New Jersey Attorney General Anne
Milgram recently announced that lawsuits have been
filed charging 37 mortgage loan providers, mortgage
industry employees, lawyers and other defendants
with consumer fraud and civil racketeering for a
variety of predatory schemes designed to bilk
worried homeowners of their money, and sometimes of
their homes.
Charges have been filed in two
cases of mortgage fraud in Union County, as well,
according to Sergeant Vincent Cagliardi of the Union
County Prosecutor’s Office.
While details of the Union County
cases, including the names of the defendants, could
not be released because they are still under
investigation, Cagliardi explained the basic
premises of the scams in order to put other area
homeowners on alert.
The first case involves a
“typical straw party purchase,” Cagliardi said. A
person who claims to be interested in purchasing a
property for an unidentified third party contacts a
homeowner. The person convinces the homeowner to use
his real estate agent and lawyer to “save money.”
After the title papers assigning
the home to the third party are signed, the
homeowner either receives a bad check or no money at
all.
The second scam is more complex
and has involved several dozen Union County
homeowners, Cagliardi said.
A homeowner receives a packet in
the mail offering to purchase his or her house for
well above current market value. The packet includes
a number of papers to sign along with one or more
checks. The homeowner is instructed to call a phone
number and provide personal information to assist
the buyer in closing the sale.
When the homeowner attempts to
cash the checks, he or she learns that they are not
valid. In the meantime, the alleged thieves file a
notice of settlement that freezes the sale of the
home to any potential legitimate buyer for at least
30 days, and possibly leads to the theft of the
home.
The prosecutor’s office quickly
arrested the front men in this scam.
“They were coming in to the
county clerk’s office and filing ten or 12 of these
a day,” Cagliardi said.
It has been harder to locate the
real leaders behind the scam. Cagliardi is still
investigating and expects to announce arrests
shortly.
There are steps homeowners can
take to protect themselves from fraud, law
enforcement officials say. If someone who is not a
licensed real estate agent approaches you about
purchasing your home, be suspicious. In addition,
both the buyer and the seller should have their own
attorney.
“The most important thing to
remember to keep from getting scammed,” said
Cagliardi, “is if someone makes you an offer that is
too good to be true, it probably is.”
<Back to top>

Local Job
Market to Fair Better than Nation
By Rod Hirsch
HELP WANTED – Dynamite
opportunity! Must be physically fit; hard hat, pick
axe, earplugs and explosives supplied; free rail
transportation to and from work site; those with
claustrophobia need not apply.
As the national and world
economies continue their tailspin, the
nation’s unemployment rate is spiking upward. U.S.
employers trimmed another 240,000 jobs from their
payrolls in October, pushing unemployment to 6.5
percent, its highest level since March 1994.
For workers willing to travel
west or south and go deep underground, mining
remains the only sector expected to increase
staffing levels for the upcoming quarter, according
to Manpower Inc., a leading employment services
firm.
In every other sector, jobs may
be scarcer than gold nuggets.
Reports show that every region of
the country is affected, as is every job sector. In
durable and non-durable goods manufacturing;
transportation/public utilities; wholesale/ retail
trade; and finance/insurance/real estate and
services, employers all expected decreased hiring
activity during the current quarter, according to
the most recent Manpower, Inc. quarterly survey of
14,000 employers in 460 cities nationwide.
Employers in the construction,
education and public administration sectors
indicated stable hiring conditions.
More than 1.2 million jobs have
disappeared already this year, according to the U.S.
Labor Department. It is expected to get worse; some
analysts are predicting unemployment rates as high
as 8 percent in 2009, even double-digit if the auto
manufacturing industry implodes.
Union County, and the rest of New
Jersey, will not be immune, experts say, but there
are areas that will not be as hard hit.
“Manufacturing will have its ups
and downs,” said Kenneth DeGraw, partner with
WithumSmith+Brown, who represents 200 clients in
Union County. “The automakers are getting whacked at
the moment, so anything connected with that will be
hurt.
“(But) there are a lot of
chemical and petrochemical industries in Union
County, and with our dependency on energy, I don’t
see any of those jobs going away. I don’t see that
taking too big a hit.”
Michael Affuso, vice president
and director of governmental affairs for the New
Jersey Bankers Association, said the state’s banks,
particularly the smaller community banks, are in
good shape. It is the larger banks and other
financial institutions on Wall Street where he
expects trouble and an ensuing domino effect that
may impact New Jersey.
“You hear anecdotally of layoffs
occurring on Wall Street,” Affuso said. “In New
Jersey there are significant back office operations
(associated with these companies), so I think it
would be reasonable to say that we would not be
immune from layoffs.”
Affuso also said the combination
of larger financial firms, such as Bank of America
buying Merrill Lynch, likely will contribute to the
pressure to layoff employees, noting overlapping
functions.
“As for smaller community banks
in New Jersey, it’s business as usual,” he said.
“They didn’t get involved in the more exotic loan
products and markets. They’re actually going to be
able to increase their market share as people look
for more safety.”
Laying off employees is a
difficult step for businesses, according to DeGraw.
“The last thing employers cut is
people,” he said. “From working with my clients I
can tell you that they never want to do it. They
want to hang on to their people as long as possible.
Nobody wants to deliver that news.”
However, some companies may be
left with no other choice, DeGraw added.
“Payroll is the single largest
cost,” he said. “Once you get past the manpower all
that’s left is paper and pencils. You can try using
both sides of the copy paper for just so long.”
Like the rest of New Jersey,
Union County is dominated by service industries like
Federal Express, one of the largest employers in the
county with 2,500 workers at the FedEx hub at Newark
Liberty International Airport.
FedEx blames record high fuel
prices and a sluggish global economy for a 22
percent drop in net income in the company’s first
quarter, which concluded Aug. 31, from $494 million
last year to $384 million this year.
FedEx spokesman Jim McCloskey
declined to address the possibility of layoffs at
the Newark Hub, but emphasized the importance of the
operation and its employees in the Northeast region.
“Obviously, the economy is soft,”
he said. “However we have a strong and robust
presence in that market. Even in this sluggish
economy we are providing a service that is in demand
to help our customers get goods from one point to
another. Certainly that activity will
continue.”
<Back to top>

 |
|



By John L. Picard

Don’t be nervous - It’s time
we had “the talk.” I feel our relationship has
reached that point where you can handle it. I want
to share the secret of business development success.
Ready? “Adapt your customer marketing to the
customer.”
Hit the moving target - I
know this sounds obvious, as you sit there wishing
you had said that. Truth is, with all the change we
see today, this is more difficult than it sounds.
The customer has become a moving target. They learn,
listen, connect and buy through a whole new set of
tools that vary by: product, customer, timing and
all the variables that drive the customer at the
moment.
It’s worth a shot - The
answer is to build a flexible marketing program
based both on the variables where the customer is
now and where the customer will be tomorrow.
Like a hunter leading his shot to
where the game is flying, here are some suggestions
where to aim:
Start with the relationship -
We all pay attention to relationships we think are
already important. Use your marketing tools to build
real dialogue and experience. When done right, your
marketing and communications will allow your
customers to tell you what they want, need and how
they want to be sold.
Move from shiny to smart -
They say you can tell the difference between a man
and a boy by the price of the toy (ask my wife).
Despite my male attitude, in the end, I buy function
over form. Recently, I became the credit card
company’s new best friend when I bought new office
equipment. State-of-the-art got my attention but
relevant answers got the credit card out of the
wallet. Make sure your marketing message addresses
the need you discover through your dialogue.
Become a point of focus - We
all multi-task everyday. After the fact that boys
hide Playboy ® under the
mattress (I won’t tell), it is the great secret of
modern life. We watch, read, listen, eat, work,
talk, and buy like a juggler spinning plates on the
old Ed Sullivan Show. Your challenge is to make sure
you are there, and still spinning, when the customer
shifts his attention back to you. Your marketing
must be able to draw the customer’s attention away
from the other tasks of the day.
Talk when they want to hear -
Have you ever noticed how many car commercials there
are when you are looking for a car? Be ready when
the customer’s radar goes on. Adapt your marketing
timing and message to the moments that bring the
radar up now.
Communicate through the mediums
of their choice - Each customer is at the center
of his own community of people, media and
information sources. More than multi-taskers, we are
also multi-sourcers. We choose our information
sources and input from a unique mix that varies for
each individual across mass media, the web, personal
conversations, and the buzz at the local store. Mix
and match the channels that reflect where your
prospect is and where they will be listening.
Build a story - The sale is
never about a single roll of the dice. Maximizing
the number and alignment of all the touchpoints
(connections) that form your customer relationship
makes business happen. Create a flow of successive
messages across all your sales tools and
communications to form a single powerful story.
It’s do or die - Bottom line:
Forget all the latest marketing gizmos. Choose a
custom blend of marketing for each customer and
stage of relationship. I’m glad we had this chance
to talk. Don’t make me have to do it again.
JOHN PICARD is principal of
Picard & Company, a strategic marketing firm
specializing in business growth and customer
retention. Functioning as a “relationship
architect,™” the firm strengthens customer
relationships to optimize long-term returns and
profitability. Picard can be reached at 908-771-0512
or via e-mail at
jpicard@picardmarketing.com or visit
www.picardmarketing.com.
<Back to top>



To our guests and friends
In warm appreciation of our
association during the past year


We extend our very Best Wishes for
a Happy Holiday Season.
(800) 775-3645
(908) 241-4100


Foreclosure. The word turns the American dream of
homeownership into a nightmare that threatens to
unravel entire lives.
Yet it need not come to that.
Increasingly homeowners unable to make mortgage
payments and locked in a home worth less than they
owe are turning to the new trend of short-selling.

“If a foreclosure is a car wreck
where you total your car, short-selling is a fender
bender,” said Jonathan Steingraber, foreclosure
division manager of Striker Realty in Linden.
According to the legal dictionary
Nolopedia, short-selling is, “A sale of a house in
which the proceeds fall short of what the owner
still owes on the mortgage. Many lenders will agree
to accept the proceeds of a short sale and forgive
the rest of what is owed on the mortgage when the
owner cannot make the mortgage payments…(avoiding) a
lengthy and costly foreclosure.”
Foreclosure is a nasty word for
banks and mortgage lenders, as well, according to
Randy Zimnoch, also foreclosure division manager of
Striker Realty.
“Banks are in the business of
lending money, not owning property,” he said.
Zimnoch notes that a foreclosure
costs a bank on average $40,000 to $60,000 and
brings the added responsibilities of possession of
the property, including maintenance; potential
vandalism; taxes, insurance and utilities; and the
cost of selling the property.
According to RealtyTrac,
foreclosure filings were reported on more than
300,000 U.S. properties in August, a 12 percent
increase from the previous month. One in every 416
U.S. households received a foreclosure filing during
the month, the firm reported.
“Banks want to work with people,”
Zimnoch said. “They are overwhelmed and are ripe to
be helped to find a solution.”
Striker Realty provides that
solution.
A homeowner typically contacts
Striker because they are behind in their mortgage
payments, know their home is worth less than they
owe or for some other reason must sell the house due
to hardship. But a standard sale will not yield
enough money to pay off the debt.
Owners of this Union County home
owed more than $390,000 on their mortgage and were
able to avoid foreclosure by short-selling the
property for $256,000 with the assistance of Striker
Realty in Linden.
Striker represents the homeowner
throughout the entire process, including initiating
contact with the bank. Steingraber and Zimnoch – who
are fluent in Spanish and Polish, respectively –
work directly with the bank-appointed appraiser, who
sets the fair market value on which the bank will
make its decision, help locate a buyer and handle
all the paperwork. They also negotiate a final
agreement with the bank and any secondary lienholder.
Most importantly, Striker works
to ensure release of the deficiency judgment, or the
unpaid balance of the mortgage, so the homeowner can
walk away and restart his or her life.
The process can be complete in
just three-to-nine months and allows someone to
return their credit to good standing in 12-18
months. It also is an option with which most real
estate agents are not familiar, Steingraber added.
“We are here to educate people,”
he said. “We want them to know what their options
and solutions are. That’s the first step toward
starting over.”
Jonathan Steingraber can be
reached at 908.868.2178 and
Jon@AgentsofNJ.com. Randy Zimnoch can be reached
at 908.347.2291 and
Randy@AgentsofNJ.com. Visit Striker Realty at
www.AgentsofNJ.com.
<Back to top>

 |
|
Heroic Selling Through Time Pacing
Change: The Willy Loman Albatross
By Andy Gole
The salesperson rises to heroic
stature in:
1) Challenging
prevailing norms to acquire new business;
2)
Demonstrating emotional resiliency to bounce back
from inevitable rejection;
3) Taking
ownership for results – acting entrepreneurially;
and
4) Time Pacing
Change.
Time pacing change –
underutilized in our business culture – was
popularized by 3M, who set this corporate objective:
30 percent of sales must come from products less
than four years old.
Another example from Gillette: 40
percent of sales every five years must come from
entirely new products. (Source: Competing at the
Edge.)
Instead of waiting and then
reacting to market changes, time pacing creates the
future. It forces change on an organization and its
markets, staying ahead of declining product/service
life cycles.
Do you time pace change?
A major opportunity for time
pacing change requiring limited investment is
enrolling the sales team to both create opportunity
and condense the selling cycle.
Unfortunately, instead of time
pacing change many organizations accept
self-limiting assumptions that extend the selling
cycle. Negative consequences may include the
competition closing the sale or the client losing
passion for the project and taking no action.
There is a major self-limiting
assumption embraced by too many organizations:
“There’s nothing I can do to make the client buy. I
gave them all the information they need. Now it’s up
to them.” If you believe it will take one-to-two
years to close a client, this often creates adverse
self-fulfilling prophecies.
This is the antithesis of time
pacing change. The heroic salesperson time paces
change. She has a grand vision of the possible,
engages the prospect in serious conversation
regarding this vision and catalyzes a change
process. She identifies and meets the client’s
needs.
For the complex sale the heroic
salesperson does the seemingly impossible: she helps
the client develop an internal consensus for change.
Staying in touch with the client when interest seems
to wane, she offers new vital reasons to keep the
“candle in the wind” burning. Knowing there are
changing client priorities, she ensures her project
becomes the top priority.
This is challenging work. It
requires imagination, persistence, problem solving,
taking ownership and deep emotional reserves.
It is easier to say, “There’s
nothing I can do…”
For many companies, time pacing
change was never more needed.
Condensing the selling cycle
could be the most cost effective way to time pace
the future.
Unfortunately, heroic salespeople
are often discouraged; they bear an unnecessary
albatross in our business culture – the stigma of
Willy Loman, who exemplifies “There’s nothing I can
do…” He is a fraud.
In reality, the heroic
salesperson is critical to time pacing change, to
economic progress, to advancing our civilization. It
is lamentable that playwright Arthur Miller selected
the salesperson – an essential, heroic “spark plug”–
to critique our culture.
Since most people – including
many business owners – do not understand the
complex, heroic selling process, Willy Loman has
become a negative symbol for salespeople.
You may know a business owner who
says, “The real work gets done in the office or the
factory. Salespeople are just high-paid prima donnas
who don’t do anything.”
Consider the Bunte Candy Story
about a straight-commission salesperson on his “last
legs.” This salesperson sold decorative packaging.
The biggest prospect in the country was Bunte Candy,
which the salesperson needed to close. However,
Bunte had been sourcing from another company for
five years and would not talk to this salesperson.
He was running out of money and approaching the
breaking point. It looked hopeless.
He could have said, “There’s
nothing I can do..”
But failure wasn’t an option.
Realizing that Bunte Candy sold its product to
retailers, that the retailers were the real
customer, he went around Bunte Candy, enrolled a
major retailer and closed the Bunte business.
Until the unfair stigma of “Willy
Loman” is toppled, the potential for heroic selling
and time pacing change will be undermined. We need
to celebrate the heroic salesperson.
© Bombadil
LLC 2008
Andy Gole has taught selling skills
for 13 years. He started three businesses and has
made approximately 4,000 sales calls, selling both
B2B and B2C. He invented a selling process, Urgency
Based Selling TM,
with which he can typically help companies double
their closing or conversion ratio. Learn more about
Andy’s method at www. bombadilllc.com or by calling
him at 201.415.3447.
<Back to top>




 |
|
Fazio, Mannuzza, Roche, Tankel,
LaPilusa LLC
They
know taxes
“If only I’d known.”
Those words will not placate the
Ghost of Taxes Past when he comes calling soon after
the holiday season of 2008 gives way to the tax
season of 2009.
In the IRS version of the Dickens
classic, this year’s flashbacks might include the
business owner who should have purchased needed
equipment and taken an immediate expense deduction –
versus the standard five-year depreciation – thereby
offsetting taxable earnings for the year. The
Section 179 Deduction will haunt him this tax
season.
There might be the family leader
lamenting her failure to take advantage of the
reinstatement of the expired tax law allowing IRA
donations of up to $100,000, or the 2008 increase in
allowable contributions to her 401(k) plan. The lost
opportunities will chill her bones.
And “If only I’d known” will echo
throughout the land.
Unless these are clients of the
accounting and consulting firm Fazio, Mannuzza,
Roche, Tankel, LaPilusa LLC (FMRTL). If so, the
Ghost of Taxes Past will skip them this year.
“It’s all about taking a
proactive approach,” according to Rick Gatti, tax
manager at FMRTL. “A lot of clients come to you
after the year-end, when it’s too late to do
anything for the prior year. We take a hands-on
approach to make sure our clients have all their
options available. We keep a close watch on our
clients’ financial and tax positions during the year
to identify potential financial and tax planning
opportunities.
This enables us to provide them
with information they need to make informed and
timely financial and tax decisions.”
FMRTL provides their clients with
a full menu of tax services, including: individual
and corporate tax planning; estate planning; tax
compliance issues; separation and divorce; mergers
and acquisitions; and business succession planning.
“By maintaining a close client
relationship and providing up-to-date expertise, we
are able to maximize the effectiveness of our
services,” Gatti said. “It is important to look
beyond the numbers. Clients’ need to know what
planning strategies are available and how these
strategies will enable them to achieve optimum
results. We hold our clients’ hands throughout the
entire process.”
FMRTL visits business clients
monthly, quarterly or semi-annually, depending on
their needs. While they review past and present
finances, the firm goes further – considering
additional pieces of the tax-planning puzzle, such
as contracts, operating agreements, pensions and
more.
“We provide a myriad of services,
with an emphasis on both short- and long-term
planning,” Gatti said. “For example, we provide our
clients with estate planning tools which enable them
to preserve their hard-earned assets so they can
effectively pass those assets on to their heirs.”
The variety of expertise at FMRTL
helps the firm do that, according to Gatti. While
clients work with a point-person, they also enjoy a
coordinated approach that includes the benefits of
all the firm’s disciplines.
“We make sure we have the right
team of professionals on an engagement to ensure the
client is getting the maximum value and the full
benefit of our services,” Gatti said.
“Our coordinated approach enables
us cover every aspect of the client’s needs. “The
tax law is constantly changing. This year alone we
had two major tax bills enacted with major
provisions affecting most, if not all, taxpayers.
Therefore, it is imperative for us to have a
thorough understanding of how these new provisions
will affect our clients. Our goal is to provide our
clients with the guidance they need to make well
informed decisions and take full advantage of the
best tax planning opportunities out there.”
Is it too late to head off the
Ghost of Taxes Past for 2008?
“The month of November and early
December is really the best time to do year-end tax
planning,” Gatti said. “It provides taxpayers with
time to evaluate where they are from both a
financial and tax perspective and to take action.
It’s not too late if you act now.”
Fazio, Mannuzza, Roche, Tankel,
LaPilusa LLC can be reached at (973) 376-4300 or
www.fmrtl.com.
<Back to top>




 |
|
Jersey Boys Talk Turkey About
Election
By
Christopher Reardon
The single greatest influence on the 2008
presidential and congressional elections was the
economy, not a surprising conclusion by of a panel
of political experts who convened the morning after
election day to discuss the outcome of the races and
the impact on the national and New Jersey economies.
The panel comprised veteran
political insider and cable television host Jim
McQueeny; and political lobbyists Dale Florio, a
Republican, and Bill Pascrell III, a Democrat.
Pascrell was the gracious winner
as he tried to mask his pleasure with the outcome of
the elections, in which the Democratic Party
captured the White House and a number of seats in
both houses of Congress.
Florio attempted to downplay the
severity of the damage in light of widespread
predictions that results would be worse.
McQueeny played the perfect
referee at the annual event, jointly sponsored by
the Gateway Regional Chamber of Commerce and the
Union County Employer Legislative Committee.
The impact of the presidential
election on a key sector of the New Jersey economy
was another point on which Florio and Pascrell
agreed. Both felt the state’s business community,
and particularly its smaller businesses, will do
well under a Barack Obama presidency. “I think New
Jersey is going to fair very well under an Obama
administration,” Pascrell said.
“Obama has said he believes one
of his most important jobs is to create jobs. He
understands the plight of the small business.”
Florio concurred, but added he
felt the same would have been true under a John
McCain administration.
“Every administration recognizes
you need small businesses to make the economy go,”
he said. “I don’t think Obama will do anything to
hurt them.”
The economy was not as friendly
to McCain and the Republicans, according to McQueeny.
“Despite ABD – anybody but Bush –
despite the war, McCain and Obama were very close,”
soon after the Republican National Convention, he
pointed out. Then came the first 700-point drop in
the Dow Jones, which most hurt the McCain-Palin
campaign.
“The Dow was the third person on
that ticket,” he said.
Despite the election outcome,
Florio maintained the results were not as dire for
Republicans as had seemed possible only a few days
prior to the election.
“When you look at all the things
the Republicans had going against them, it’s
remarkable to me the popular vote was as close as it
was,” Florio said. “The president-elect is smart
enough to recognize he can’t go into the White House
and move people. At the end of the day, people like
coalition government rather than people at the top
trying to dictate across the board.”
Pascrell agreed.
“The best thing that happened is
that the Democrats did not get a 60-seat majority
(in the Senate),” he said. “We have to get beyond
the chest slapping language.”
However, the experts differed on
issues as often as they agreed. Pascrell said he
believes Obama changed the landscape of American
politics through a new formula of presidential
campaigning, citing control of message, overwhelming
fundraising and resisting the temptation to get
personal – a temptation to which McCain fell prey.
Florio disagreed.
“It’s been an amazing
transformation, but I don’t think the Democrats can
say there’s been a true realignment,” he said.
The panelists disagreed on taxes,
as well, with Pascrell foreseeing no significant tax
increases and Florio believing they will be
inevitable.
“I don’t believe Obama will
introduce a bill to raise taxes right off the bat,”
Pascrell said. “Obama made the economy the
centerpiece,” Florio countered. “If he doesn’t
pursue tax cuts for somebody – which means tax
increases for others, maybe business – he’ll lose
credibility from the get go.”
On the issue of McCain’s
selection of Sarah Palin as a running mate, Florio
indicated the Alaska governor was a double-edged
sword.
“He needed someone like her to
solidify the base, but she brought nothing else,” he
said.
Pascrell conceded that Obama
might have as tough a time controlling congressional
leaders of his own party as he will with those
across the aisle.
“Obama has the ability, because
of his relationships, to have greater sway,” he
said. “(But) people in legislature don’t like to be
dictated to. The honeymoon could be short.”
In the end, all these topics will
impact the greater issue of the economy, McQueeny
pointed out, with politics, government and economics
all becoming more intertwined.
“The lines are blurred between
what is government, what is regulation and what is
private commerce,” he said.
The 1992 presidential election –
also held during a recession – brought American
voters the phrase, “It’s the economy, stupid.” More
so than ever, that seems to be the case.
<Back to top>

 |
|


Inside Views

The Sky is NOT Falling
Everywhere I turn I hear
negativity about the U.S. economy. Whether I am
talking to a neighbor, a chamber member or the guy
pumping gas, it is the same – we are headed for the
worst time ever. The despair is tangible.
As for me, I’m actually somewhat
optimistic. While we are certainly facing a rough
holiday season, I think the downturn that we are now
in will actually be somewhat mild. I don’t think we
are getting ready to have another Great Depression.
I don’t think the world as we know it is going to
collapse.
There are several reasons for my
optimism. First and foremost, our ability to manage
the economy is much better now than it was in the
early 1930s. Then, neither the government nor the
financial sector had any idea what to do so they did
nothing. Banks were allowed to fail and people lost
their savings; businesses were forced to close and
people lost their jobs.
Doing nothing, letting the
economy take its course, is the absolute worst thing
to do.
That’s because someone else’s
problem suddenly becomes yours. On a small scale an
example of this is your neighbor not being able to
make his mortgage payment. When the bank forecloses
on his house, the value of yours goes down in
sympathy.
This strategy has been advocated
by many this time around, as well. “Why should the
tax payers bail out the greedy Wall Street bankers”
has been the refrain.
Fortunately, the Federal Reserve
and the Treasury have not sat on their hands. They
have done things. Hundreds of billions of dollars
have been pumped into the markets to stave off
collapse. Maybe these actions have not worked
perfectly, but they have helped calm the situation.
When people are calm, markets tend to rebound.
My second reason for optimism is
the end of the presidential campaign. The last two
years of unrelenting campaign have certainly had a
negative effect on the economy. How so? Well, for
the past two years we have heard non-stop from both
sides how bad the economy is.
“The past eight years of failed
policies...”
The best way to get people to
vote is to scare them. George Bush did this with the
terrorist threat in 2004. Barack Obama did it with
the economy. John McCain couldn’t quite figure out
where he wanted to be until the very end, and then
he became an economic fear-monger, as well.
If you hear over and over that
things are bad, whether they are or not, you will
adjust your expenditures and expectations
accordingly. Those adjustments, when aggregated,
will become the reality.
Now that we’re done with the
campaign, it is in the best interest of
President-elect Obama and his Capitol Hill
colleagues to change our frame of mind, to give us a
more positive picture of the future. We are already
seeing this. The tone of the message has changed
dramatically in the last couple weeks.
However, changing people’s
collective minds is like turning around an aircraft
carrier. It doesn’t happen fast. If you look back at
the 1992 election, the Clinton campaign, which used
exactly the same message, probably prolonged the
economic malaise an additional year by convincing
people during the campaign that things were worse
than they really were. Of course, it’s what won them
the election, so all in all they didn’t feel too bad
about it.
The final reason for my optimism
is that John McCain was right; the fundamentals of
the economy are good. The fundamentals of an economy
are the people, its productive base (i.e.
manufacturing capacity, farmland, etc.), its natural
resources and its transportation network.
We did not suddenly wake up one
day last summer and become dumber. Our roads have
not disappeared. And contrary to popular belief, we
are still the world’s largest manufacturer, and our
capacity is still growing.
So, you take these three things
together – aggressive intervention, a positive
message and sound fundamentals – and you see there
is reason to be optimistic.
James Coyle
President
<Back to top>


<Back to top>

Where the Chamber Stands...
Now It's His Turn
Governance.
When the campaign rhetoric ends
and the attack ads silence…when the polls become
moot and pundits mute…when the votes are cast and
tallied…it all comes down to governance.
Barack Obama has been elected the
44 th president of the United
States. Frank Lautenberg is returning to the Senate
for his sixth term while Leonard Lance is packing
for the House of Representatives for his first.
Whether as a rebuke of eight
years of Republican dominance in Washington or a
kneejerk punishment of the party in the White House
during an economic crisis, voters across the nation
opted to give someone else a try at running the
nation. In addition to the presidency, Democrats
picked up at least eight seats in the Senate and 20
in the House.
Yet the results could have been
worse for the Republican Party. While Obama defeated
John McCain in nearly every voter category, more
than 46 percent of Americans casting their ballots
did so for the Senator from Arizona.
In the end, no one walked away
with a mandate from America to implement sweeping
changes at will. The only thing Americans seemed to
agree upon on November 5 was that they were glad it
was over and that they want the folks in Washington
to work together to make things better.
So now it is time to move
forward…with the governance of the nation.
Obama took a somber approach in
accepting victory. There was no dancing on the stage
and saxophone playing as with the Clinton victory in
1992. We did not hear the belligerence of Newt
Gingrich tossing the gauntlet and declaring the
Republican Revolution in 1994, followed by Tom
Delay’s announcement shortly thereafter that “It’s
time for all-out war.” There was no “bring ‘em on”
bravado in Obama’s speech.
In addressing the nation election
night, Obama used words such as humility and
affection and acknowledged that 57 million Americans
did not vote for him. He quoted Abraham Lincoln
about mending strained relations. He invoked
memories of Jack Kennedy when speaking of a
responsibility to look after one another as well as
ourselves and he sounded not unlike Martin Luther
King in saying, simply, “Yes we can.”
Obama even echoed Ronald Reagan
as he asked Americans to summon a new spirit of
patriotism and reminded them how great a nation is
the United States.
He told us, “This is our time, to
put our people back to work and open doors of
opportunity for our kids; to restore prosperity and
promote the cause of peace; to reclaim the American
dream and reaffirm that fundamental truth that, out
of many, we are one.”
So now it is time to do just
that. It is time for Obama – and Lautenberg and
Lance,
Democrat and Republican and
Independent – to govern. To put aside partisan
politics and take the nation in the right direction,
regardless of the impact on their party or political
careers.
There will be roadblocks. If he
holds true to his promise of being the president of
those who voted nay to him as well as those who
voted yea, Obama may find as many battles with
Capital Hill Democrats as he will with Republicans.
Maybe that’s fine. Maybe that’s
how we will know it is not the same old circus with
a new cast of clowns.
Because this is no laughing
matter.
Government reports for October
show that the U.S. economy lost another 240,000 jobs
last month, bringing the year’s total job loss to
1.2 million. Unemployment rose to 6.5 percent. Wall
Street and the international financial markets
remain in chaos, General Motors reported a $3.0
billion loss for the third quarter and claims to be
running out of money, and the real estate market
remains an albatross around the neck of the nation’s
economy.
As basketball player Michael Ray
Richardson once said about his dismal Knicks team,
“The ship be sinking.”
Ironically, when asked how far
the ship could sink, Richardson answered, “The sky’s
the limit.”
It will take sound governance to
right the good ship America, with all hands on board
pulling in the same direction. It will take
insightful leadership, but perhaps more so it will
take non-partisan cooperation.
As Dwight Eisenhower said, “You
do not lead by hitting people over the head.”
On January 20 the chief justice
of the United States will swear in a new president.
Let us hope what follows is the blessing of a new
period of cooperation and progress and not the curse
of a return to partisan politics.
<Back to top>



The 2008 election was historic on
many levels. Barack Obama was elected as the first
African American ever to the presidency of the
United States. And for the first time in over a
decade, the Democratic Party will control both the
legislative and executive branches of our federal
government as the majority party in both the House
and Senate – with President-elect Obama in the White
House.
With single-party control in
Washington, we can certainly expect that there will
be many changes on the horizon for our nation, for
taxpayers and especially for small business owners
all across the country.
Small businessmen and women right
here in Union County are no doubt asking themselves,
what will President-elect Obama’s presidency mean to
me, to my family and to my business?
How will the President-elect’s
call for change impact our company, our employees
and our ability to continue to grow competitively?
Will we pay more in taxes? Will we be better off?
While
there are no specific legislative proposals before
the Congress right now, the President-elect made
many promises on the campaign trail that could
impact small businesses across our country.
Specifically, President-elect Obama proposed the
following:
• Employment –
Called for a plan that would give a $3,000 tax
credit to businesses for every new job they created,
and proposed tying the minimum wage to inflation.
• Taxes – Called for
increasing taxes on all Americans who make more than
$250,000 a year; this would include many of
America’s small business owners who make more than
$250,000 a year.
• Health Care –
Called for a health care plan that would punish
employers with a fine if they failed to purchase
health insurance for all of their employees.
• Unionization –
Supported the card check proposal that would make it
easier for employees to unionize.
• Immigration –
Proposed requiring employers, like small businessmen
and women, to serve as the verifier of their
employees’ citizenship status.
These are all very big and
important issues that the new president has pledged
to address. It is my hope that when the new Congress
and President-elect are sworn into office in
January, elected officials of both parties –
regardless of promises made on the campaign trail
–will work together cooperatively on policies that
reward small businesses as the job creators of our
communities.
That would include working
together to help get our economy on track with an
economic plan that would lower taxes for all
Americans – including our small businessmen and
women who will no doubt play a key role in helping
strengthen our economy.
<Back to top>

|
|

Downturn or recession? Regardless
of which descriptor one chooses, one thing is
certain: the current state of the economy will lead
to major changes in both the levels and types of
consumer spending in the United States. And such
changes will have a fundamental effect – especially
since consumer spending in the United States is now
a whopping 70 percent of gross domestic product
(GDP).
Because of the sharp decline in
housing prices, consumers’ wealth levels have fallen
drastically. Combined with the tightening of
consumer credit and unemployment, this means overall
consumer spending will fall sharply. This decline
will be particularly severe in the consumer durable
goods market as consumers postpone or even forgo
purchases of expensive durables.
In the supermarket, consumers are
likely to switch from national brands to cheaper
store brands. Consequently, major national brands
could lose market share. And these losses could be
permanent as consumers discover that many store
brands offer high quality at prices that are lower
than those charged by national brands.
Firms are likely to rely more
heavily on coupons to stimulate sales; in addition,
consumers are likely to spend more time searching
for coupons. The net result is that prices are
likely to fall. In addition, consumers may expect
coupons to be part of “normal” pricing. This will
make it harder for firms to increase prices later
when the economy rebounds.
How will consumer spending across
product categories change? Historically, certain
industries have been “recession proof.” For example,
the alcoholic beverage industry has been stable even
when the economy is in a downturn. The entertainment
industry has also been immune to business cycles. In
the Great Depression, for example, the movie
industry did well, even though unemployment was
rampant. These patterns are likely to continue as in
the past.
Given the rapid proliferation of
new industries in the last decade or so, interesting
new patterns of consumer behavior are likely to
emerge. For example, in a good economy, the vacation
and videogame industries do not compete with each
other. This is unlikely to be true given current
economic conditions. Consumers may have no option
but to forgo vacations. To compensate for this loss,
consumers may decide to reward themselves with a
small, affordable gain such as the purchase of a
videogame.
The patterns of competition
within an industry are also likely to change
dramatically.
Consider the chocolate industry.
Since many consumers may be unable to afford the
expensive items that they would purchase in good
times, they may reward themselves with the purchase
of a premium-brand chocolate. Thus, paradoxically,
an expensive premium brand may gain even if the
product category as a whole does not.
An interesting question is
whether or not consumers will engage in more
“one-stop shopping” and how this effect will vary
across industries. Consider the mass merchandise
market. Because of the high prices of gasoline in
the recent past, more consumers are finding it
cost-efficient to purchase groceries and other items
from the same store. Consequently, mass
merchandisers such as Wal-Mart have been able to
capitalize on this shift in consumer behavior.
However, is this shift a
short-run or long-run phenomenon? Also, will this
one-stop shopping strategy work in other industries,
especially those that sell high-priced durables? The
answer is less clear.
On one hand, in tough economic
times consumers are more likely to search for the
best price for a product. (The Internet makes this
easy.) On the other hand, consumers are likely to be
more bargain-conscious. Thus, a firm that sells
bundles of durables at attractive prices may succeed
by using the one-stop shopping model.
In summary, the current economic
conditions are likely to lead to major changes in
both the levels and types of consumer spending.
Traditional definitions of industries are
likely to break down. In addition, various forms of
“irrational” behavior may become more prevalent as
consumers adjust to difficult economic
circumstances.
Sharan Jagpal is professor of
marketing at Rutgers Business School and president
of Strategic Management & Management Consultants.
His most recent multidisciplinary book is “Fusion
for Profit: How Marketing and Finance Can Work
Together to Create Value” (Oxford University Press
2008).
<Back to top>


Trinitas Hospital has officially changed its name to
Trinitas Regional Medical Center to better
reflect its growth and expanded capabilities, the
hospital announced recently. The new identity
recognizes the status of Trinitas as a regional
healthcare provider and reflects the broad range of
services available at the facility, according to
Gary Horan, Trinitas president and chief executive
officer.
In 2007 Trinitas admitted more
than 17,000 patients, treated more than 60,000
emergencies and provided more than 300,000
outpatient treatments. In addition to its 531 beds
in Elizabeth, Trinitas has a healthcare presence
throughout the state with nearly 100 locations. With
a staff of more than 2,400 employees and a medical
staff of close to 500 physicians, Trinitas Regional
Medical Center is one of the largest employers in
central New Jersey.
_______________________________________________
Infineum USA L.P. recently
partnered with the United Way of Greater Union
County to build and donate a playhouse to the Rahway
Daycare Center as part of the company’s 10 th
annual United Way fundraising
campaign. Infineum employees designed, built and
decorated the playhouse on site during their lunch
breaks and after work.

Children from the Rahway
Daycare Center admire the hand-painted,
jungle-themed mural and test out the chalk board of
the playhouse built by Infineum employees at a
special celebration held at the Bayway Chemical
Plant.
_______________________________________________
The law firm of Lindabury,
McCormick, Estabrook & Cooper P.C., recently
participated in the 13 th
Annual Lee National Denim Day, the largest
single-day fundraiser for the fight against breast
cancer, raising more than $300. Employees were
encouraged to wear denim in exchange for a $5
donation to the Women’s Cancer Programs of the
Entertainment Industry Foundation.

Pictured left-to-right are:
Vernon Starks, Karina Mercado, Diane Stevens, Robert
Anderson, Scott Clarke, Jennifer Osborne and Edward
Frisch.
_______________________________________________
Capital
One Bank recently announced that its
middle-market/ corporate banking groups for New York
and New Jersey will be consolidated under the
leadership of Douglas Kennedy, who has headed this
function for New Jersey since June 2004.
Kennedy is responsible for the
bank’s middle-market business in New York and New
Jersey. He joined the banking business of Capital
One in 2007 with the acquisition of North Fork Bank.
Kennedy earned a bachelor’s degree in economics and
a master’s degree in business from Sacred Heart
University in Fairfield, CT.
_______________________________________________

Schering-Plough Corporation
employees (left-to-right) Priscilla Gregory, Sherry
Winckler and Renanda Woodford, assembling meals for
Mobile Meals of Westfield, were among more than
1,000 employees from company sites across the United
States who volunteered for local charities as part
of Schering-Plough’s annual Community Projects Day.
_______________________________________________
The Irish Business Association
recently welcomed Cormac McDonnell of IDA
Ireland (Industrial Development Agency), who spoke
about the role played by the multinational sector in
contributing to Ireland’s transformation from being
one of the poorest economies in Europe to now being
the second richest, and the steps Ireland is IBA
President Patrick Sheridan (left) and Program
Director Rob Connolly (right) welcome Cormac
McDonnell and Niamh Casey of IDA Ireland to the
group’s October meeting. taking to maintain that
position in spite of greatly increased global
competition for multinational investment. McDonnell
also discussed the impact the current crisis in the
world’s financial markets is having on Ireland and
its economy.

<Back to top>







|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Click here for a complete list of members
offering a discount or to learn how to submit
your own discount. |
|
|



 
|
|









There is an Art of Negotiation?
By Gary Roelke
Successful dealmakers have an aura – a
mystique that comes from having mastered the art of negotiation.
It is their stock in trade, their “black box.” It is a major
source of the real value they add to clients’ transactions.
What exactly is negotiation? Is it theater?
Is it difficult to learn? Does gamesmanship play a role? How
about intimidation?
Bookstores are filled with answers to these
questions, and good counsel can come from unlikely places. For
example, consider this advice from Getting to Yes by
Fisher and Ury:
• About preparation:
“…when you do anything, unless you understand its actual
circumstances, its nature and relation to other things, you will
not know (what governs) it, or how to do it, or be able to do it
well…”
• About perception:
“…whether you are making a deal or settling a dispute,
differences are defined by the difference between your thinking
and theirs…put yourself in their shoes…discuss each other’s
perceptions…”
Or this from Deal Maker by Robert
Kuhn:
• About people
skills: “…don’t ignore the needs and wants of the other side.
The best dealmakers have a keenly developed sense of ‘people
assessment.’ They just seem to know where that elusive bottom
line falls…”
We learn about negotiations from books,
seminars, classrooms and on the playground. We learn about it
from our parents, our siblings, most assuredly from our children
and even from our grandchildren. It is the accumulated wisdom
that comes from experience (which actually is the knowledge we
glean from the pain of earlier mistakes).
That is why you want a skilled professional
deal negotiator on your side of the table. The stakes are very
high at this stage of the dealing process, so get the best
business negotiator you can find.
Any good negotiator will tell you that to
have a successful outcome you should approach any big
negotiating session this way:
1. Prepare.
2. Prepare some
more.
3. Develop a
strategy, and stick to it.
4. Have the client
clearly delineate their bottom line on all key issues.
5. Host the meeting
(there is such a thing as “home court advantage”).
6. Keep the client
out of the room.
7. Have the client
designate one person only to negotiate the business transaction,
and ask the client to request that the other side do the same.
There should only be two voices heard in the room.
8. Support that
person at the table with an M&A lawyer, whose role it will be
to: consult with the deal negotiator; identify and solve
transactional risks; and document and close the transaction.
9. Start the agenda
with the easy points, and be the first to concede a few things
to the other side (gamesmanship).
10. Designate one person
from each side to take notes. When consensus is achieved on any
point, write it down on a separate pad, then read it aloud,
handle any questions, comments or exceptions on the spot, and
move on. That pad becomes the “negotiating log book” and
documents all of the progress made.
11. Once momentum is
established, sustain it – don’t rush, but don’t let things
stall, either.
12. There is nothing weak
about excusing yourself for a caucus – it is professional and
appropriate to gain consensus as you continue to make progress;
it also is the appropriate way to bring issues to the client,
who is your decision-maker.
13. Be sure to LISTEN
carefully to what the other side says, ask questions, try to
discern the underlying motivations and parameters. Whatever you
do, don’t react or respond until you feel you are in command of
the issue and the facts.
14. If the negotiating
group cannot resolve all open points, then it is imperative that
the open items be few, well articulated, and taken to the
principals to resolve.
15. Set a timetable for
reconvening (either in person, or via conference call) to
resolve the open items.
16. The “negotiating log
book” should be initialed by the two negotiators, copies should
be made for everyone on the deal teams, and the lawyers will use
that as the core of the business agreement that they will
document.
© Gary Roelke, Corporate Finance Associates
Gary Roelke, senior partner at Corporate
Finance Asociates, can be reached at 888.45.CFANY, groelke@cfaw.com
or www.cfaw.com/ny-metro.
<Back to top>





|
|
<Back to top>

 |
|


|
|
|